Getting to YES: Negotiating Agreement Without Giving In (4)

The Fourth Principle: Insist on Using Objective Criteria The first three principles of principled negotiation—separating the people from the problem, focusing on interests, and inventing options for mutual gain—are designed to transform a negotiation from an adversarial confrontation into a collaborative problem-solving process. They help to create a positive atmosphere, identify the real issues, and generate a rich menu of possible solutions. However, even with the best will in the world, negotiators will almost always face moments where their interests are in direct conflict. A buyer wants a lower price, a seller a higher one. A union wants a larger

Self-Handicapping: The Paradox That Isn’t (1)

Main Argument 1: Self-Handicapping as a Proactive Attributional Strategy to Protect a Fragile but Valued Sense of Competence. The central thesis of the book is that self-handicapping, the act of creating or claiming impediments to one’s own performance, is not the self-defeating paradox it appears to be. Instead, it is a deeply rational and strategic psychological maneuver designed to control the causal attributions that one and others make about performance outcomes. Its primary goal is not to fail, but to manage the meaning of failure and success, thereby protecting a sense of competence that is highly valued yet fundamentally insecure. This strategy

Self-Handicapping: The Paradox That Isn’t (2)

Main Argument 2: The Taxonomy of Self-Handicapping: A Spectrum of Strategies from Acquired Behaviors to Claimed States. To truly grasp the strategic depth of self-handicapping, one must move beyond the general concept and delve into its specific forms. The behavior is not a single tool, but an entire toolbox, with different instruments selected for different jobs. The book, drawing on the evolution of research in the field, makes a powerful case for classifying these strategies along two critical axes. This classification scheme not only organizes the seemingly disparate examples of the behavior—from reduced practice and alcohol use to feigned anxiety

Self-Handicapping: The Paradox That Isn’t (3)

Main Argument 3: The Continuum of Self-Handicapping: From an Adaptive Coping Tactic to a Maladaptive and Enduring Personality Pattern. While the first two arguments establish what self-handicapping is and the various forms it can take, the third major argument of the book presents a sophisticated developmental and clinical perspective: self-handicapping is not a static, all-or-nothing behavior but exists on a dynamic continuum of adaptiveness. At one end of this spectrum, it can function as a relatively common, situationally-specific, and even psychologically adaptive coping tactic used by healthy individuals to navigate discrete threats to their self-esteem. At the other end, however, it can

Self-Handicapping: The Paradox That Isn’t (4)

Main Argument 4: Self-Handicapping as a Form of Reality Negotiation and the Creation of a “Collaborative Illusion.” The final and most integrative argument presented in the book elevates the concept of self-handicapping from a purely intrapsychic strategy to a sophisticated socio-psychological process of reality negotiation. It argues that the meaning of any performance, and thus its impact on our self-worth, is not an objective fact but a socially constructed reality. Self-handicapping is one of the primary tools individuals use to actively shape and negotiate this reality. For this negotiation to succeed, it often requires the implicit cooperation of an audience, leading

Navigating the AI Revolution: A Tech Veteran’s Guide for Taiwan’s Next Generation

  A summary of a lecture delivered by a former Google executive and a pioneer in language model research, addressing the profound impact of AI on society, education, and Taiwan’s future. It’s exciting to be back on campus. Today, I want to talk about a topic that is changing almost weekly: the impact of Artificial Intelligence on your generation. But I want to start from a different angle, one that is critical to our future here. The biggest challenge facing Taiwan today isn’t AI; it’s our declining birthrate. We are standing at a crossroads similar to Japan 30 years ago.

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Millionaire Teacher

Introduction: Your Teacher’s Simple Secret Imagine your high school teacher drove a modest car, lived in a regular house, but was secretly a millionaire. That’s Andrew Hallam. The core message of his book is that building wealth isn’t about being a Wall Street genius or having a massive salary. It’s about following a few simple, powerful rules that our schools, unfortunately, never taught us. This summary will walk you through those nine rules, one by one. Rule 1: Spend Like You Want to Grow Rich 1. Plain-English Explanation: This is the foundation of everything. You cannot invest money that you’ve already

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (1): The Inescapable Tyranny of Costs and the Loser’s Game of Active Investing

Main Argument 1: The Inescapable Tyranny of Costs and the Loser’s Game of Active Investing At the very heart of John C. Bogle’s investment philosophy lies a principle so simple and so mathematically irrefutable that it is often overlooked in the complex and noisy world of modern finance. This central argument is that while investing in American business is fundamentally a “winner’s game,” the very act of trying to beat the stock market through active management turns it into a “loser’s game.” This transformation occurs not because of a lack of skill or intelligence among investment professionals, but because of

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (2): The Winner’s Game

Main Argument 2: The Winner’s Game — Buy the Haystack, Not the Needle Flowing directly from his powerful indictment of active management as a “loser’s game” doomed by costs, John C. Bogle presents his elegantly simple and profoundly effective solution. If trying to beat the market is a futile and expensive endeavor, the most logical and successful strategy is not to play that game at all. Instead, an investor should aim to capture the return of the entire market, efficiently and at the lowest possible cost. This leads to Bogle’s second great argument: the winning strategy is to buy a passively

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (3): The Grand Illusion

Main Argument 3: The Grand Illusion — Performance Chasing, Reversion to the Mean, and the Folly of Financial Fashion Having established the structural flaws of active management (the “loser’s game” of costs) and presented his elegant solution (the “winner’s game” of indexing), John C. Bogle directs his attention to the great behavioral and psychological traps that prevent investors from embracing this simple truth. His third major argument is a powerful warning against what he calls the “Grand Illusion”: the deeply ingrained and profoundly mistaken belief that one can successfully identify superior investment funds by analyzing their past performance. Bogle argues

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing (4): The Intelligent Investor’s True North

Main Argument 4: The Intelligent Investor’s True North — A Philosophy of Prudent Asset Allocation, Long-Term Discipline, and Enduring Simplicity After methodically dismantling the case for active management, performance chasing, and financial fads, John C. Bogle’s final and perhaps most encompassing argument moves beyond the specific mechanics of what to buy into the essential philosophy of how to be a successful long-term investor. This argument is a comprehensive guide to building a resilient, lifetime investment program. It posits that true investment success is not achieved through clever tactics or complex products, but through adherence to a set of timeless, common-sense principles. The core of

If You Can (1): The Primacy of Savings Over Investment Acumen

Primary Argument 1: The Primacy of Savings Over Investment Acumen The foundational argument of William Bernstein’s “If You Can” is a concept that is both profoundly simple and universally difficult: Your ability to build wealth is determined not by your investment genius, but by your capacity to save. Bernstein states this with stark clarity: “Even if you can invest like Warren Buffett, if you can’t save, you’ll die poor.” This assertion serves as the first and most critical hurdle an aspiring investor must overcome. It reframes the entire challenge of personal finance, moving the spotlight away from the complex, often intimidating world

If You Can (2): Foundational Financial Knowledge is Non-Negotiable

Primary Argument 2: Foundational Financial Knowledge is Non-Negotiable After establishing the absolute primacy of savings, William Bernstein presents his second major argument, which functions as the intellectual bedrock for his entire strategy: You must acquire a fundamental, working knowledge of financial theory, its core principles, and its practical implications. He dismisses the notion that finance is “rocket science” but is equally adamant that it cannot be ignored. To attempt investing without this foundational understanding is, in his analogy, like learning to fly an airplane without grasping the basics of aerodynamics and meteorology. While it might be theoretically possible to succeed through sheer

If You Can (3): The Study of Financial History is a Study in Applied Psychology and Risk Management

Primary Argument 3: The Study of Financial History is a Study in Applied Psychology and Risk Management Following his insistence on a theoretical understanding of finance, William Bernstein introduces his third major hurdle, which elevates the investor from a mere technician to a seasoned strategist: You must immerse yourself in the study of financial history to immunize yourself against the emotional manias and panics that have defined markets for centuries. If learning financial theory is akin to a pilot studying aerodynamics, then learning financial history, Bernstein argues, is like a pilot meticulously studying aircraft accident reports. It is not about memorizing dates

If You Can (4): The Greatest Threat to Your Financial Success is Your Own Brain

Primary Argument 4: The Greatest Threat to Your Financial Success is Your Own Brain After equipping the reader with the essential tools of savings discipline, financial theory, and historical perspective, William Bernstein confronts the most formidable and intimate hurdle of all: The single greatest enemy to your long-term investment success is not the market, not a bad economy, and not a crooked advisor—it is the person staring back at you in the mirror. This argument draws from the field of behavioral finance and evolutionary psychology, positing that the human brain, hardwired over millennia for short-term survival in a dangerous, primitive world, is

If You Can (5): The Financial Services Industry is Structurally Designed to Siphon Your Wealth

Primary Argument 5: The Financial Services Industry is Structurally Designed to Siphon Your Wealth, Not Grow It After guiding the investor through the internal gauntlets of spending discipline, theoretical ignorance, historical amnesia, and psychological self-sabotage, William Bernstein presents the final, external hurdle: The financial services industry, in its mainstream form, is not your partner, your guide, or your friend; it is a ravenous and sophisticated adversary whose fundamental business model is predicated on transferring as much of your wealth as possible into its own pockets. This is arguably Bernstein’s most cynical and most critical argument. He portrays the financial landscape not as

The Simple Path to Wealth (1): Debt is the Unacceptable Burden and the Foremost Obstacle to Wealth

Main Argument 1: Debt is the Unacceptable Burden and the Foremost Obstacle to Wealth One of the most foundational and uncompromising arguments presented in “The Simple Path to Wealth” is the assertion that debt is not a tool, a normal part of life, or a necessary evil, but rather an active and vicious impediment to financial freedom. It is portrayed as a self-inflicted burden that systematically destroys wealth-building potential, enslaves individuals to their income sources, and imposes a significant psychological toll. To truly embark on the simple path to wealth, one must first recognize debt for the emergency it is

The Simple Path to Wealth (2): The Engine of Wealth is a High Savings Rate

Main Argument 2: The Engine of Wealth is a High Savings Rate, Achieved by Engineering the Gap Between Income and Spending While the first argument in “The Simple Path to Wealth” focuses on eliminating the primary obstacle—debt—the second argument reveals the core engine that actively powers the journey to financial independence. This engine is not a high income, a secret stock-picking formula, or complex financial wizardry. It is the simple, yet profoundly powerful, act of consistently spending less than you earn and investing the surplus. The book argues that wealth is not a function of how much money you make,

The Simple Path to Wealth (3): Buy the Entire Market Through a Low-Cost Index Fund and Hold It Forever

Main Argument 3: The Optimal Investment Strategy is Radically Simple: Buy the Entire Market Through a Low-Cost Index Fund and Hold It Forever After establishing the necessity of eliminating debt and harnessing the power of a high savings rate, the book presents its third, and perhaps most revolutionary, argument: the actual process of investing should be stripped of all complexity, guesswork, and “expert” opinion. The most effective, reliable, and profitable way to build wealth over the long term is not to try and outsmart the market, but to simply buy the entire market through a single, low-cost, broad-market index fund. This “set

The Simple Path to Wealth (4): Navigating Retirement is Governed by a Flexible Withdrawal Strategy

Main Argument 4: Navigating Retirement is Governed by a Flexible Withdrawal Strategy, Not a Rigid Rule, Centered Around the 4% Guideline After a lifetime of diligently following the simple path—eliminating debt, maintaining a high savings rate, and investing in low-cost index funds—the final challenge is to successfully transition from accumulating wealth to drawing it down. The fourth major argument in “The Simple Path to Wealth” addresses this critical phase, asserting that a successful retirement is not managed by a rigid, unbreakable rule, but by an intelligent and flexible withdrawal strategy. While the well-known “4% Rule” serves as a robust and

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