Epoch AI《2030 年的人工智慧:推斷當前趨勢》(1)
人工智慧的進步主要由「運算規模擴展」(Compute Scaling)驅動,且此趨勢將持續至 2030 年 這份報告開宗明義地指出,過去十幾年人工智慧(AI)能力之所以能有驚人的飛躍,最根本、最核心的…
人工智慧的進步主要由「運算規模擴展」(Compute Scaling)驅動,且此趨勢將持續至 2030 年 這份報告開宗明義地指出,過去十幾年人工智慧(AI)能力之所以能有驚人的飛躍,最根本、最核心的…
至 2030 年,持續的運算規模擴展將需要數千億美元等級的極端投資,而這種投資的可行性,建立在 AI 將創造數兆美元經濟價值的預期之上 如果說第一個論點描繪了 AI 發展的「藍圖」(持續擴展運算規模)…
到 2030 年,持續的規模擴展將使 AI 在科學研發等知識密集型領域,從輔助工具進化為高能力的合作夥伴,能夠自主解決複雜的、定義明確的任務 這個論點描繪了一幅具體的未來圖景。報告認為,AI 的能力進…
Overcoming the Twin Foundational Fears Through a Mindset of Immediate, Imperfect Action At the very core of “Million Dollar Weekend” lies a fundamental argument that precedes any business strategy, marketing tactic, or financial model. This argument posits that the primary obstacle preventing countless intelligent, capable individuals from starting a successful business is not a lack of good ideas, capital, or expertise, but rather a deep-seated psychological paralysis rooted in two specific fears: the Fear of Starting and the Fear of Asking. The book’s foundational thesis is that these fears cannot be overcome through more planning, research, or learning. Instead, they can only be
The Million Dollar Weekend Process: A Customer-First, Validation-Driven Framework for Rapid Business Creation Having established the psychological foundation for overcoming the initial fears of starting and asking, “Million Dollar Weekend” transitions from mindset to method. The book’s second major argument is a direct and radical assault on the traditional approach to starting a business. It posits that the slow, expensive, and high-risk model—which involves writing a detailed business plan, seeking funding, building a perfect product in isolation, and then launching it with a big marketing push—is fundamentally broken and outdated. In its place, Kagan proposes a disciplined, three-step, 48-hour process
The Growth Machine: Scaling from First Customers to a Sustainable Business by Systematically Building and Monetizing an Audience Once an idea has been validated by securing the first few paying customers, the “Million Dollar Weekend” process enters its third and final phase: transforming a fledgling, validated concept into a scalable, sustainable, and ultimately life-designing business. The book’s third major argument is that the leap from a handful of initial sales to a seven-figure enterprise is not achieved by simply working harder or finding more one-off customers. Instead, it requires the intentional construction of a “Growth Machine.” This machine is a
AI 的使用模式正在迅速演化,從協作者轉變為代理人 使用者與 AI 的互動模式並非靜態的,而是在短短幾個月內就發生了根本性的轉變。這個轉變可以從兩個維度來理解:使用者「要求 AI 做什麼」以及「如…
AI 的地理採用呈現極端不均,可能加劇全球經濟鴻溝 這份報告的第二個核心發現,是將 AI 採用的視角從「時間的演變」擴展到「空間的分佈」。其結論極為鮮明:AI 的浪潮並未均勻地拍打在世界的每一個角落,…
企業部署 AI 的邏輯截然不同——「能力」遠勝「成本」,而「情境」成為最大瓶頸 這份報告的第三個核心發現,是將分析的鏡頭從廣泛的個人使用者(透過 Claude.ai 網站互動)切換到一個更為專業、更具…
非工作相關用途佔主導地位,且增長速度超越工作用途 這篇研究報告最引人注目的發現之一,是徹底顛覆了許多人對於生成式 AI 主要價值的普遍認知。過去,當我們討論 ChatGPT 這類大型語言模型時,焦點往…
三大核心用途——實用指導、資訊尋求與寫作——構成了使用的絕對主體 在探討 ChatGPT「能做什麼」這個問題時,人們的想像力似乎是無限的。從編寫複雜的軟體、進行情感陪伴與心理治療,到創作藝術作品,各種…
生命的意義在於貢獻、合作與社會興趣 (The Meaning of Life is Contribution, Cooperation, and Social Interest) 在阿德勒的心理學體系…
心靈與身體的統一性及其與生活風格的關係 (The Unity of Mind and Body and its Relation to the Style of Life) 在傳統的觀念中,我們常常將…
自卑感與優越感的動力,以及「自卑情結」的形成 (The Dynamics of Inferiority and Superiority, and the Formation of the “…
早期回憶是理解個人生活風格的鑰匙 (Early Memories as the Key to Understanding an Individual’s Style of Life) 在探…
夢的目的是激發情緒以支持生活風格,並為未來的行動做準備 (The Purpose of Dreams is to Evoke Feelings to Support the Style of Life…
出生順序對人格發展的深遠影響 (The Profound Influence of Family Constellation (Birth Order) on Personality Developm…
學校教育的真正任務是彌補家庭教育的不足,培養學生的社會興趣與合作能力 (The True Task of School Education is to Correct the Deficiencies…
青春期的挑戰源於對人生三大課題的恐懼,而非生理劇變 (The Challenges of Adolescence Stem from the Fear of Life’s Three Gr…
犯罪是缺乏社會興趣的懦夫行為,預防犯罪的根本在於童年合作精神的培養 (Crime as an Act of Cowardice Stemming from a Lack of Social Inter…